Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.012610 0.014268 0.015951 0.017781 0.019708 0.021673 0.023821
2025-05-04 0.008983 0.011468 0.014127 0.017150 0.020461 0.023949 0.027878
2025-05-11 0.007123 0.010109 0.013449 0.017378 0.021799 0.026562 0.032025
2025-05-18 0.005581 0.008834 0.012634 0.017243 0.022552 0.028375 0.035152
2025-05-25 0.004176 0.007504 0.011581 0.016683 0.022695 0.029398 0.037301
2025-06-01 0.003130 0.006462 0.010750 0.016277 0.022923 0.030440 0.039400
2025-06-08 0.002291 0.005556 0.009986 0.015869 0.023081 0.031346 0.041293
2025-06-15 0.001756 0.004990 0.009599 0.015874 0.023687 0.032733 0.043701
2025-06-22 0.001192 0.004252 0.008905 0.015435 0.023712 0.033408 0.045261
2025-06-29 0.000657 0.003386 0.007937 0.014573 0.023167 0.033370 0.045960
2025-07-06 0.000288 0.002639 0.007043 0.013741 0.022608 0.033275 0.046557
2025-07-13 0.000170 0.002414 0.006927 0.013947 0.023346 0.034726 0.048957
2025-07-20 0.000024 0.001867 0.006282 0.013480 0.023330 0.035409 0.050640
2025-07-27 NaN 0.001358 0.005619 0.012965 0.023267 0.036070 0.052354
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001144 0.005460 0.013168 0.024139 0.037878 0.055440
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000872 0.005111 0.013051 0.024560 0.039112 0.057821
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000562 0.004558 0.012564 0.024447 0.039654 0.059348
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000345 0.004118 0.012211 0.024490 0.040370 0.061069
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000183 0.003705 0.011857 0.024506 0.041035 0.062711
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000106 0.003513 0.011861 0.025014 0.042321 0.065109
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000027 0.003127 0.011481 0.024950 0.042853 0.066566
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.002583 0.010738 0.024321 0.042628 0.067064
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.002096 0.010023 0.023693 0.042378 0.067510